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A Big April Comeback? History’s 80% Win Rate Pattern Is Flashing
Plus, take Benzinga's daily trivia quiz to win some amazing prizes

Happy Tuesday! The S&P 500 just suffered one of its roughest months in March, but history shows an 80% win rate for a powerful April rebound. Dive in to see the signals analysts are watching — and why this could be the market’s comeback moment.
And Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says the worst is behind us as the Wall Street veteran sees a spring-loaded recovery. Read on to see why the risk-reward favors bulls and why an explosive move higher could be coming.
Plus, if you’re looking for a high-growth tech opportunity making waves ahead of its potential IPO, check out today’s sponsor.
In Today's Edition
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TOP STORY
The S&P 500 just endured one of its roughest months in March. But what if this sell-off is actually setting the stage for something much bigger?
History shows a striking pattern: after such a steep March decline, April has finished higher 80% of the time — tying July as the market’s most consistently green month.
Will history repeat itself once again? Read on to see what analysts are watching.
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MARKET RECAP
| Averages & Assets | ||||
| Asset | Close 04/06/26 | Price Change | ||
| $6,611.83 | +0.44% | ||
| $21,996.34 | +0.54% | ||
| $46,669.88 | +0.36% | ||
| 4.34% | -0.01 bps | ||
| $176.19 | +5.02% | ||
| $772.28 | -6.60% | ||
| $69,710.65 | +1.05% | ||
| $2,145.84 | +1.75% | ||
| $1.34 | +1.52% | ||
Yesterday: U.S. indexes finished higher Monday as investors monitored escalating tensions in the Middle East as President Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran over reopening the Strait of Hormuz. In addition, crude prices edged higher despite OPEC+ agreeing to increase production by 206,000 barrels per day in May, as uncertainty remains on how additional supply would reach markets. Economic data showed the ISM Services PMI remained in expansion territory at 54.0 last month, while the price index climbed to its highest level since late 2022, pointing to renewed inflationary pressures. Looking ahead, investors will be paying extra attention to Friday’s CPI report, which is expected to show inflation accelerating to 3.1% year-over-year — up from 2.4% in February.
On Our Radar: Analysts will be paying attention to durable-goods orders and consumer credit data for a read on the economy, along with Fed speeches from Goolsbee and Jefferson for cues on policy. On the earnings front, all eyes will be on Delta Air Lines (DAL) which will report earnings before the market opens Wednesday.
MARKET HEATMAP
Shares of Applovin (APP), Strategy (MSTR), Seagate (STX), and Booking Holdings (BKNG) helped lead the market higher, while Super Micro (SMCI), Datadog (DDOG) and Lumentum (LITE), were among the top laggards of the day. But those weren’t the only companies making big moves. Here’s a look at some of the biggest winners and losers on Monday.
See how the market is moving with our interactive heatmap. Filter by market cap, or click on any box to explore specific sectors or assets in more detail.
FIVE ZINGERS
Shock Waves: One of the world's largest institutional asset managers warns the market could face fallout from the Iran conflict far worse than last year’s tariff shocks. Don’t miss the insights that could protect your portfolio.
ETF Liftoff: From rockets to portfolios, SpaceX may dominate more than the launchpad—find out why it could reshape ETFs like no stock ever has.
Prediction Payday: A new partnership is fueling more than just trading activity, it’s building a financial flywheel. Here’s the company that stands to benefit the most.
Hidden Gems: After the market’s wild few weeks, these stocks look poised for big moves. Click to read the four tech stocks that still have strong fundamentals that could ride the next big surge.
Stock Of The Day: Shares of Tesla are flirting with a critical support level, and the outcome could shake the market. Click to see whether it’s gearing up for a rebound or a full-blown breakdown.
SPECIAL OFFER
While markets focus on which companies lose from tariffs, a different shift is already underway. Countries like Malaysia, Poland, and Costa Rica are quietly becoming the new factory floor for global manufacturing. Capital is moving. Supply chains are being rebuilt. Most investors are still watching the wrong map.
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