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A Rare Contrarian Opportunity Amid A Historic Valuation Gap

Plus, ARK goes quiet, senator buys Mag 7 stocks, earnings, stock of the day, and more.

 

Happy Friday! Wall Street’s most crowded trade is pushing into rare territory, with a valuation gap so extreme it’s raising alarms. And if history is any guide, this kind of divergence rarely lasts. Discover Wall Street's 'Ultimate Contrarian Trade.’ 

The market continues to climb the “wall of worry,” as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit new record highs. And while forecasts grow increasingly bullish, here’s a closer look where momentum may still be building starting with 5 Under-the-Radar stocks with strong momentum.

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TOP STORY

A historic valuation gap, extreme by even dot-com era standards, is flashing a signal that Wall Street may be leaning too far in one direction.

Even as momentum continues to drive the market’s most crowded trade, subtle cracks are beginning to emerge as underlying data and technical patterns suggest the balance could be shifting. If history is any guide, this kind of divergence rarely lasts — and the reversal, when it comes, can be swift and unexpected.

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MARKET RECAP

Averages & Assets
AssetClose 04/16/26Price Change
SPX
$7,041.28
+0.26%
NASDAQ
$24,102.70
+0.36%
DJI
$48,578.72
+0.24%
10-Year
4.32%
+0.04 bps
ALB - Notable Gainer
$215.62
+16.31%
SCHW - Notable Loser
$92.62
-7.63%
BTC
$75,192.67
+0.48%
ETH
$2,350.21
-0.40%
XRP
$1.45
+4.32%

Yesterday: U.S. indexes finished higher Thursday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closing at fresh record highs, driven by optimism that a resolution will come soon in the war with Iran. The Nasdaq posted its 12th consecutive gain, marking its longest winning streak since 2009, while both indexes notched new intraday and closing milestones, with the S&P 500 surpassing 7,000 and the Nasdaq closing above 24,000 for the first time. Investor sentiment was further supported by historical trends, with data from Edward Jones suggesting that when the S&P 500 rebounds from a pullback of at least 8% and quickly reaches new all-time highs within four months, markets have typically continued higher. On average, the index has returned 5.5% in the six months following such moves.

On Our Radar: Analysts will be paying attention to remarks from Fed speakers (Daly, Barkin, Waller) throughout the day for signals on the policy outlook and broader economic conditions. On the earnings front, all eyes will be on Alaska Air Group (ALK) which will report after the market close on Monday.

MARKET HEATMAP

Semiconductors were flying high today with AMD (AMD), Intel (INTC), Dell (DELL) and On Semiconductor (ON) leading the market to new all-time highs. On the other side, Charles Schwab (SCHW), Lucid (LCID), Royal Caribbean (RCL), and Carnival (CCL) were among the top laggards on the day. But those weren’t the only companies making big moves. Here’s a look at some of the biggest winners and losers on Thursday.

Discover how the market is moving with our interactive heatmap. Filter by market cap, or click on any box to explore specific sectors or assets in more detail.

FIVE ZINGERS

Where ‘ARK’ You?: With markets are record highs, one of Wall Street’s most-watched active managers has seemingly gone quiet. Read on to see what this unusual “no-trade” streak could be signaling.

Crude Awakening: Oil is still stuck above $90 and drivers are feeling it at the pump, but parts of the energy sector are trading like everything is already “back to normal.” Check out the disconnect as well as 7 energy stocks trading at a wide discount.

Capitol Picks: A senator is quietly loading up on a few Magnificent Seven names, and the timing is raising some eyebrows. See which stocks are getting scooped up.

Quantum Signal: A quiet signal from Nvidia has sparked debate over a potential mispricing in the quantum space. One name highlighted by Citron Research could be the real standout with big upside.

Stock Of The Day: IonQ is surging after a critical technical breakout that has traders rethinking the trend. But is the breakout real? Click here to find out.

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