🔥 Pumpin' Powell Performs

The market hit new all-time highs during Powell's press conference. Plus, an analyst changes her tune on Spotify.

Happy Wednesday, Zingers! Pumpin’ Powell is back baby! The market absolutely ripped on the news that the Fed does not plan on raising rates — and, more importantly, may still cut rates up to three times this year.

The news pushed all three major indexes to all-time highs, spelling a great afternoon for big and small caps alike. A rising tide lifts all boats — dinghies, evidently, included.

Today’s Price Action:

$SPY: +.92%
$QQQ: +1.19%
$DIA: +1.05%

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TODAY’S MOST VOLATILE STOCKS
TODAY’S TOP STORY
Full House Netflix GIF by Mic

Briefly: Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated today that the Fed is likely to cut rates at some point this year, although he acknowledged that the outlook is uncertain and that decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis.

What Happened: During the March meeting, the Federal Reserve opted to maintain interest rates, as expected.

But Then: The central bank released its quarterly projections, which showed the majority of members still expect three rate cuts in 2024, consistent with projections from December 2023.

What Else: Participants also upwardly revised their GDP projections, forecasting a median growth rate of 2.1% for the current year, compared to the previous estimate of 1.4%, and a steady 2% over the forecast horizon.

So What? Powell suggested the current policy rate may have peaked for this tightening cycle, and that it may ease in 2024 if economic conditions evolve as expected. However, he once again underlined the potential consequences of adjusting policy too fast or too slow.

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FIVE MOVERS

Plug Power shares moved higher today along with many small-cap energy stocks following the Federal Reserve’s announcement.

TKO shares moved higher today after the company settled a lawsuit with former UFC athletes.

Crocs shares closed up more than 5% today after an analyst at BofA securities raised his price target from $140 to $150.

Chewy stock moved higher today after the pet-focused e-commerce platform reported stronger-than-expected earnings. 

Boeing stock moved higher today as investors came in and bought the dip on the beaten-down plane manufacturer.

ONE TRADE IDEA FOR TOMORROW
Well Done Thank You GIF by Spotify

Briefly: BofA Securities analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich raised the price target of Spotify from $265 to $315 and reiterated her Buy rating.

So Basically: The analyst is confident that the company’s first quarter FY24 results will be at least in line with guidance, including revenue, premium subscribers and MAUs.

So Then: Ehrlich writes that she is confident about the sustainability of Spotify’s share price momentum led by subscriber growth, monetization opportunities, scaling of advertising and continued operating leverage.

So What? Given the strong balance sheet and FCF trajectory, Ehrlich notes ample capacity to start a share repurchase program (likely after the new CFO announcement), which could be a share price driving factor in the second half.

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