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⚠️ Why The Fed Is In No Hurry
Plus, why the GLD could finally shine, and more
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Happy Tuesday! The Fed is expected to hold rates steady, with Powell likely to tread carefully as policymakers weigh inflation risks from tariffs. Here’s what the central bank’s updated projections could mean for markets — and how investors should prepare. Also, discover why gold-focused ETFs could rise.
—Josh Enomoto
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MARKET RECAP
Yesterday: Stocks rose Monday as retail sales rebounded and investors positioned ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. Bond yields edged higher, while markets remained in wait-and-see mode following last week’s government funding resolution. Attention now turns to the Fed’s economic projections and policy signals for the months ahead.
On Our Radar: After assessing housing starts and building permits, the next major highlight (aside from the FOMC interest rate decision) will be initial jobless claims. On the earnings front, Tencent Music and ZTO Express will release their results on Tuesday.
TOP STORY
The Fed’s latest projections signal a cautious approach, with policymakers balancing inflation risks against slowing growth.
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FIVE ZINGERS
Red Alert: The Department of Commerce issued an internal warning about the use of the Chinese AI model DeepSeek. Read about the potential threats posed by the technology.
Down Vote: Tesla shares saw their value plunge again on Monday as Mizuho analysts slashed their price target. Learn why other experts are frustrated with the once-popular EV maker.
Life Abroad: Chinese stocks are on pace to deliver their strongest quarterly performance compared to the S&P 500 in almost 15 years. Discover the catalysts fueling momentum.
Dip Alert: Retail sales only improved slightly in February, falling short of economists' expectations. Still, read why investors aren't fully convinced that a recession is nigh.
Bear Attack: Hedge fund Universa Investments posted a 4,144% return in a single quarter during the COVID-19 crisis. Here's how speculators profit from "doomsday" prognostications.
SPECIAL OFFER
Editor’s Note: Every week, Benzinga Edge members receive the Insider Report. It’s a rundown of what to expect from the markets in the week to come, which sectors are outperforming and why, and most importantly, a selection of hand-picked stocks that are poised to move up because of that week’s trends. Here’s a sneak peek:
It would appear that the next phase of the great gold (GLD) bull market is upon us, especially when we compare the shiny metal against the S&P 500 (SPY). Let's check in on the ratio between these two asset classes if tells an even bigger story.
Note how the ratio bottomed early in 2024 and began trending higher ever since. Both of these asset classes put in strong returns in 2024, but gold did slightly edge out stocks last year. And with the volatility we're seeing in equities to start 2025, this outperformance is kicking into hyper-drive.
The breakout from the saucer formation here carries major implications. It tells us that even if stocks recover from the recent selling, gold remains a stronger candidate to outperform to the upside. It's becoming irresponsible to not have an allocation to metals within one's portfolio.
To keep reading and to find out how investors can get in front of the noise, sign up for the Insider Report here.
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