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  • 🔫 Why Trump's Gunboat Diplomacy is Boosting Defense Stocks

🔫 Why Trump's Gunboat Diplomacy is Boosting Defense Stocks

Plus, what you need to know about rising interest rates, and more

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It’s Friday! President Trump’s push for NATO members to boost defense spending to 5% of GDP could significantly benefit major military contractors, with analysts forecasting increased demand for advanced weaponry and bulk munitions purchases. Discover how this policy shift could shape defense stocks — and where the opportunities lie for investors. Also, why investors should be prepared for a possible rate hike.

—Josh Enomoto

Plus, if you’re interested in deciphering market trends and cycles, check out today’s sponsor.

MARKET RECAP

Yesterday: Stocks edged higher Thursday, with the S&P 500 hitting a new record as tech stocks lagged due to rising bond yields. Investors are now turning their attention to next week’s tech earnings and Fed rate announcement, key events that could shape market direction in the near term.

On Our Radar: Next week will feature several important economic reports, beginning with Monday morning’s new home sales data. In the corporate financial realm, earnings from Nucor and SoFi Technologies on Monday will keep analysts busy.

TOP STORY
USAF Thunderbirds Fly-by

President Trump’s call for NATO countries to raise defense budgets to 5% of GDP signals robust growth opportunities for defense contractors as allies ramp up military spending.

SPONSORED CONTENT

The stock market is poised for double-digit gains of 8% to 12% in 2025, according to the latest edition of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. The go-to guide for traders, investors and money managers – now in its 58th year – shows investors stock market cycles and trends and patterns, all laid out in a calendar format. 

This handy tool has been an institution since the late 1960’s when Yale Hirsch, a veteran investor, created a way to help the average investor by organizing a slew of data points on a calendar basis. Hirsch was fascinated with stock market history, cycles and patterns and discovered early on that some days of the week and days of the month are better for stocks than others. 

He later passed the torch to his son Jeffrey Hirsch who made his own accurate predictions about the performance of stocks. Ready to get your copy of the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2025? Click here

FIVE ZINGERS

Heavy Impact: Wildfires are again affecting Southern California, with the latest incident occurring near Castaic Lake. Read about the broader financial impact the disaster will have on insurance companies.

Stalled Out: Although Trump's electoral victory has been a boon for conservatives, the same might not be said about Tesla's brand value. Dig into the reputational loss the EV maker has suffered.

Soap Opera: Uncertainty over video-sharing platform TikTok's future in the U.S. has put tech leaders Elon Musk and Larry Ellison in the spotlight. Learn who could ultimately emerge as the top bidder.

Divided Gains: With Netflix on the verge of breaching four-digit territory, speculation has sprouted about another stock split. Discover the implications for such a move.

Slow Crossing: Transportation and logistics giant CSX posted mixed results in Q4, meeting EPS targets but missing on revenue. Here's what management had to say regarding contributing headwinds.

ONE FOR THE ROAD
Amazing vintage cashier register I found on the basement of an old Antique shop the back in 2012.

The Federal Reserve might be gearing up for a surprising move. Bank of America analysts say the next rate decision could actually be a hike – not a cut. It all comes down to inflation and a shockingly strong December jobs report.

Let's break it down.

The Jobs Report That Got Everyone Talking

The U.S. economy added 256,000 jobs in December, blowing past expectations of 164,000. Bank of America called the report "gangbusters" in a note last week, as reported by Business Insider. "Economic activity is robust. We see little reason for additional easing," wrote Aditya Bhave, who led the analysis.

With unemployment low and the economy buzzing, the Fed seems out of the rate-cutting game for now. Instead, analysts say, the focus will shift to tackling inflation.

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